The story behind

Earlier this year, Frontier, as part of a consortium led by KPMG, carried out a modelling exercise for NHS England aimed at understanding the future levels of A&E demand. We found that A&E activity has a number of clear drivers that influence demand on the service on any given day.

We think this could be interesting to A&E staff and managers, who have to cope with the swings in workload. To help them planning, we have developed a simple activity “calendar” that shows how busy the A&E is likely to be over Christmas 2015 and in 2016.


Click on the below links to find out more about our model:

How did we come up with these numbers?

What does our model show?

Where do we go from here?